John come kiss me now

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CD-16273

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Ensemble La Beata Olanda. Suiten und Tänze der englischen Renaissance

Claudia Hoffmann (Barockvioline und Pochette), Gerald Stempfel (Tenorgambe, Diskantgambe, diverse Blockflöten), Thorsten Bleich (historische Zupfinstrumente) und Tina Speckhofer (Cembalo)

„John come kiss me now" ist eine farbenfrohe Sammlung englischer Hof-, Kammer- und Tanzmusik aus dem 17. Jahrhundert, gespielt auf historischen Instrumenten in verschiedensten Besetzungen von dem Freiburger Ensemble für Alte Musik „La Beata Olanda" (zu deutsch: „Das Schöne Holland").

Booklet ansehen

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Xerifecaiu - 2015-08-23 17:13:55

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Good God man, just listen to yorluesf!This index which is supposed to estimate the probability of recession peaked in October 2007 to April 2008 at 35-40%.Do you not see something terribly wrong here? Since we are IN a damned recession the index should have peaked at 100 percent at some point in the last year!Recessions are not draws of a random variable. Discussing the 'probability of a recession' is nonsense. The closest analogy is a rain forecast where in X percent of situations exhibiting a particular set of atmospheric readings, there was rain the following day.Rain is rain. It's water falling from the sky. There is no clearcut definition of a recession - a downturn in the economy. How far? How long? How is an aggregate downturn measured?Ultimately a 'recession' is a judgment call of a bunch of white men in a formerly smoke filled room. These men have political motivations, financial interests, reputational concerns, and differences in opinion. I don't need to be a weatherman to know which way the wind blows.This recession will be over this year with 100% probability because the men in that room who make the determination for all of us WANT it to be over this year. The millions of Americans without jobs until 2011, 2012 or 2013 won't think this recession is over. They can't eat your Green Shoots and won't survive on Obama's glimmers of hope.If we have a double dip, people like you will still say you called it right. You're a bunch of witch doctors who take credit for making it rain after you dance but always have a reason why it didn't rain after you dance, just in case.The macroeconomy doesn't follow laws of nature like water droplets in a rain cloud. Recessions aren't over when we start recovering any more than a car accident victim is 'healing' when his blood starts to coagulate. Recessions are over when the economy is back at its long-run trend growth rate and that rate is an amalgamation of trillions of economic decisions. Like most population parameters they are known but to God.

Sital - 2015-08-23 11:13:02
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